93262: Rev 1: WE E: Work Element Summary

Work Element Summary PDF

Select a work element:

Basics

Contract Number:

93262

Contract Title:

2017-005-00 EXP LAMPREY LIFE STAGE DEMOGRAPHIC MODEL

Contract Start Date:

9/1/2023

Contract End Date:

9/30/2024

WE ID:

162. Analyze/Interpret Data

Work Element Usage Report

Title:

E: 162 - Develop a life-stage demographic model to simulate population dynamics of Pacific Lamprey and evaluate threats to their population(s).

Description:

Development and application of the model will occur in several steps: 1) conduct a literature review to identify key aspects of Pacific Lamprey life cycles, 2) assemble this information into a general model that allows for expression of alternative life histories or life cycles that are known, 3) populate the model with parameters from the literature on Pacific Lamprey or surrogates (i.e., studies of other, closely-related lamprey species), 4) evaluate model performance and identification of key behaviors and uncertainties, 5) application of a model that is adapted to address questions regarding threats or management scenarios identified in the Willamette RMU. The model will be coded in R or other suitable language, with code and a full model description provided in the form of a peer-reviewed publication. If time and resources allow, we will also provide a version of the model that can be used or adapted by individuals who are not proficient in coding (e.g., an R Shiny).

WE Agreement Type:

Contracted

Deliverable Specification:

Model results will identify restoration and management actions to which lamprey populations are most responsive. Also, sensitivity analyses in the model will suggest parameters and life stages most influential to model outputs, which could direct monitoring efforts. Updated values could then be used as inputs to the model as an adaptive management approach.

The data file/s will be stored in the data repository/ies specified in the contract. In your annual report (WE 132), you are required to provide a link to your data set with a file name in the report's first appendix. If not web accessible, provide instructions (e.g., file name, directory, or position title) for accessing data.

WSE Effective Budget:

$52,000

% of Total WSE Effective Budget:

84.84%

WSE Start:

09/01/2023

WSE End:

09/30/2024

WSE Completion:

09/30/2024

WSE Progress:

Concluded

WSE ID Continued From:

n/a

WSE ID Continued To:

n/a

Finite or Recurring:

Recurring

Budget History

SOWRevision	Planned	Updated	Contractor Comments (optional)	BPA Comments (optional)
Work Element Budget (Current Performance Period)	$52,000	$52,000

Milestones

6 Milestones

Sort	Type	Title	Start	End	Status	Modified By	Modified Date
A	PUBPROTOCOL	Review, revise, & finalize Study Plan sample design protocol and methds in monitoringResources.org	9/1/2023	9/30/2024	Concluded	Elizabeth Santana	8/8/2023 12:11:52 PM
		Description: The Study Plan's Sample Design, Protocol and Methods for this work element are stored at MonitoringResources.org and need to be completed (i.e., "Finalized" through MonitoringResources.org), preferably prior to data analysis but must be completed upon submittal of your annual report. Preparations for contract renewals must include reviewing any previously finalized Sample Designs, Protocols & Methods to ensure that they are consistent with how work will be done in any subsequent contract.
B		Conduct a literature review to identify key aspects of Pacific Lamprey life cycles.	9/1/2023	11/1/2023	Concluded	Elizabeth Santana	7/11/2023 6:49:20 AM
		Description: Conduct a literature review to identify key aspects of Pacific Lamprey life cycles.
C		Assemble this information into a general model that allows for expression of alternative life histories or life cycles that are known.	10/15/2023	2/1/2024	Concluded	Elizabeth Santana	7/11/2023 6:49:20 AM
		Description: Assemble this information into a general model that allows for expression of alternative life histories or life cycles that are known.
D		Populate the model with parameters from the literature on Pacific Lamprey or surrogates (i.e., studies of other, closely-related lamprey species).	1/1/2024	6/3/2024	Concluded	Elizabeth Santana	8/9/2023 8:05:27 AM
		Description: Populate the model with parameters from the literature on Pacific Lamprey or surrogates (i.e., studies of other, closely-related lamprey species). Model application will identify a general life history structure and dynamics to identify which life stages are most sensitive to current and future conditions and potential restoration actions to reduce threats and improve population status.
E		Evaluate model performance and identification of key behaviors and uncertainties.	3/1/2024	9/30/2024	Concluded	Elizabeth Santana	7/11/2023 6:49:20 AM
		Description: Evaluate model performance and identification of key behaviors and uncertainties.
F	DELIV	Deliverable: Life-stage demographic model.		9/30/2024	Concluded	Elizabeth Santana	8/9/2023 8:01:54 AM
		Description: Model results will identify restoration and management actions to which lamprey populations are most responsive. Also, sensitivity analyses in the model will suggest parameters and life stages most influential to model outputs, which could direct monitoring efforts. Updated values could then be used as inputs to the model as an adaptive management approach. The data file/s will be stored in the data repository/ies specified in the contract. In your annual report (WE 132), you are required to provide a link to your data set with a file name in the report's first appendix. If not web accessible, provide instructions (e.g., file name, directory, or position title) for accessing data.

Metrics

Implementation Metrics

Metric	Planned	Actual	Contractor Comments	Measures	HLIs
1464. Primary R, M, and E Focal Strategy [Population Status, Hydrosystem, Tributary Habitat, Estuary/Ocean, Harvest, Hatchery, Predation, Multiple Strategies]	Population Status	Population Status	The model is a heuristic tool, not predictive
1472. Primary R, M, and E Type [Status and Trend Monitoring, Action Effectiveness Research, Uncertainties Research, Project Implementation/ Compliance Monitoring]	Status and Trend Monitoring	Status and Trend Monitoring	The model is a heuristic tool, not predictive

Location

<a target='blank' href='https://www.monitoringresources.org/Designer/Design/Detail/16898'>Location data for Area of Inference (AOI) should be entered into MonitoringResources.org. Click here to go to that site.</a>

Focal Species

Primary Focal Species:

Lamprey, Pacific (Entosphenus tridentata)

Secondary Focal Species:

None

Environmental Compliance

This work element does not require Environmental Compliance

RM&E Metadata

Data Repositories:

Title	Link
NONE - No data repository or not electronically available	N/A

Study Plan:

Study Plan Name	Study Plan Owner	Protocol State	Sample Design Name
2017-005-00 EXP LAMPREY LIFE STAGE DEMOGRAPHIC MODEL v1.0	Joe Benjamin	Draft	lamprey general model v1.0

Methods:

ID	Name	Type	Optional	Customized Based On	Status
7166	Pacific lamprey lifecycle model v1.0	Data Analysis/Interpretation	No	N/A	Finalized

Metrics:

Title	Category	Subcategory	Subcategory focus 1	Subcategory focus 2
model simulation	Fish	Abundance of Fish (ID: 46)	Fish Life Stage: RANGE: Adult to Adult	Fish Origin: Unknown
Pacific lamprey lifecycle simulation	Fish	Abundance of Fish (ID: 46)	Fish Life Stage: RANGE: Adult to Adult	Fish Origin: Unknown

Area of Inference:

Name	Value
Columbia River Basin	Columbia River

Please correct the errors noted below.

Implementation Metrics