63538: Rev 1: WE O: Work Element Summary

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Basics

Contract Number:

63538

Contract Title:

2007-157-00 EXP BULL TROUT STATUS AND ABUNDANCE

Contract Start Date:

10/1/2013

Contract End Date:

9/30/2014

WE ID:

162. Analyze/Interpret Data

Work Element Usage Report

Title:

O: 162 - Determine Spawning Abundance

Description:

Analysis from WE N - Conduct redd counts in the WSR and SC.

WE Agreement Type:

Contracted

Deliverable Specification:

The total number of bull trout redds by stream and within each stream reach will be compiled for WSR and SC after the last survey. Data will be pooled with survey data beginning in 1998 and analysis of variance will be performed to determine if bull trout utilize different stream reaches by year and if peak spawning varies by year. Between-year variation in the spatial and temporal distribution of redds in each stream will be evaluated.

In order to determine the power to detect population trends, an analysis of variance, based on a model suggested by Urquhart et al. (1998), will be used to identify components of variance associated with year, observation site, measurement error, and any interactions. The results will be used to estimate the power to detect trends within the data and to determine the number of years required to detect a trend of a specified magnitude with a given power. The basic trend analysis will be a linear regression of the response on sample year. The response may be the actual observation or an appropriate linearizing transformation, e.g., the log of the observation. Explanatory co-variates will be incorporated into the linear model. The co-variates have the potential of reducing the magnitude of the year effect and substantially increasing the power to detect trends.

WSE Effective Budget:

$3,626

% of Total WSE Effective Budget:

2.90%

WSE Start:

10/01/2013

WSE End:

09/30/2014

WSE Completion:

09/30/2014

WSE Progress:

Concluded

WSE ID Continued From:

n/a

WSE ID Continued To:

n/a

Finite or Recurring:

Recurring

Budget History

SOWRevision	Planned	Updated	Contractor Comments (optional)	BPA Comments (optional)
Work Element Budget (Current Performance Period)	$4,500	$3,626

Milestones

6 Milestones

Sort	Type	Title	Start	End	Status	Modified By	Modified Date
A		Use Descriptive Statistics to Decribe Spawning Patterns	10/1/2013	9/30/2014	Concluded	Jen Graham	7/26/2013 12:44:50 PM
		Description: The total number of bull trout redds by stream and within each stream reach will be compiled.
B		Graph Spawning Abundance Trends	10/1/2013	7/31/2014	Concluded	Jen Graham	7/26/2013 12:44:50 PM
		Description: Graph redd count data collected by year.
C		Determine Changes in Spawning Locations	10/1/2013	7/31/2014	Concluded	Jen Graham	7/26/2013 12:44:50 PM
		Description: Data will be pooled with survey data beginning in 1998 and analysis of variance will be performed to determine if bull trout utilize different stream reaches by year. Between-year variation in the spatial distribution of redds in each stream will be evaluated using a two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. In order to determine the power to detect population trends, an analysis of variance, based on a model suggested by Urquhart et al. (1998), will be used to identify components of variance associated with year, observation site, measurement error, and any interactions. The results will be used to estimate the power to detect trends within the data and to determine the number of years required to detect a trend of a specified magnitude with a given power. The basic trend analysis will be a linear regression of the response on sample year. The response may be the actual observation or an appropriate linearizing transformation, e.g., the log of the observation. Explanatory co-variates will be incorporated into the linear model. The co-variates have the potential of reducing the magnitude of the year effect and substantially increasing the power to detect trends.
D		Determine Changes in Spawn Timing	10/1/2013	7/31/2014	Concluded	Jen Graham	7/26/2013 12:44:50 PM
		Description: Data will be pooled with survey data beginning in 1998 and analysis of variance will be performed to determine if bull trout peak spawning varies by year. Between-year variation in temporal distribution of redds will be evaluated using a two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test. In order to determine the power to detect population trends, an analysis of variance, based on a model suggested by Urquhart et al. (1998), will be used to identify components of variance associated with year, observation site, measurement error, and any interactions. The results will be used to estimate the power to detect trends within the data and to determine the number of years required to detect a trend of a specified magnitude with a given power. The basic trend analysis will be a linear regression of the response on sample year. The response may be the actual observation or an appropriate linearizing transformation, e.g., the log of the observation. Explanatory co-variates will be incorporated into the linear model. The co-variates have the potential of reducing the magnitude of the year effect and substantially increasing the power to detect trends.
E	PUBPROTOCOL	Review, Revise, and Publish Protocol, Study Design, and Methods in Monitoringmethods.org	10/1/2013	9/30/2014	Concluded	Jen Graham	7/26/2013 12:44:50 PM
		Description: The Protocol (including temporal and spatial design) and Methods for this work element are stored at monitoringmethods.org and need to be finalized (i.e., "Published" through monitoringmethods.org), preferably prior to data collection. Preparations for contract renewals must include reviewing any previously published Protocols/Methods to ensure that they are consistent with how work will be done in any subsequent contract.
F	DELIV	Summarize Redd Count Data		9/30/2014	Concluded	Jen Graham	7/26/2013 12:44:50 PM
		Description: The total number of bull trout redds by stream and within each stream reach will be compiled for WSR and SC after the last survey. Data will be pooled with survey data beginning in 1998 and analysis of variance will be performed to determine if bull trout utilize different stream reaches by year and if peak spawning varies by year. Between-year variation in the spatial and temporal distribution of redds in each stream will be evaluated. In order to determine the power to detect population trends, an analysis of variance, based on a model suggested by Urquhart et al. (1998), will be used to identify components of variance associated with year, observation site, measurement error, and any interactions. The results will be used to estimate the power to detect trends within the data and to determine the number of years required to detect a trend of a specified magnitude with a given power. The basic trend analysis will be a linear regression of the response on sample year. The response may be the actual observation or an appropriate linearizing transformation, e.g., the log of the observation. Explanatory co-variates will be incorporated into the linear model. The co-variates have the potential of reducing the magnitude of the year effect and substantially increasing the power to detect trends.

Metrics

Implementation Metrics

Metric	Planned	Actual	Contractor Comments	Measures	HLIs
1464. Primary R, M, and E Focal Strategy [Population Status, Hydrosystem, Tributary Habitat, Estuary/Ocean, Harvest, Hatchery, Predation, Multiple Strategies]	Population Status	Population Status
1472. Primary R, M, and E Type [Status and Trend Monitoring, Action Effectiveness Research, Uncertainties Research, Project Implementation/ Compliance Monitoring]	Status and Trend Monitoring	Status and Trend Monitoring

Location

<a target='blank' href='https://www.monitoringresources.org/Designer/Design/Detail/7832'>Location data for Area of Inference (AOI) should be entered into MonitoringResources.org. Click here to go to that site.</a>

Focal Species

Primary Focal Species:

Trout, Bull (S. confluentus) (Threatened)

Secondary Focal Species:

None

Environmental Compliance

This work element does not require Environmental Compliance

RM&E Metadata

Data Repositories:

Title	Link
NONE - No data repository or not electronically available	N/A

Study Plan:

Study Plan Name	Study Plan Owner	Protocol State	Sample Design Name
CTWS RM&E - Multiple Species - Deschutes River Subbasin - Redd Counts v1.0	Lyman Jim	Draft	Determine Spawning Abundance In The Warm Springs River & Shitike Creek - Confederated Tribes of Warm Springs v1.0

Methods:

ID	Name	Type	Optional	Customized Based On	Status
131	Redd Count Survey v1.0	Data Collection	No	N/A	Finalized
5412	Redd Distribution and Upper Extent Analysis v1.0	Data Analysis/Interpretation	No	N/A	Draft

Metrics:

Title	Category	Subcategory	Subcategory focus 1	Subcategory focus 2
Bull trout redd counts	Fish	Spawning/Nesting (ID: 507)	Fish Origin: Natural	NA
ChS redd counts in Warm Springs River watershed upstream of WSNF	Fish	Spawning/Nesting (ID: 507)	Fish Origin: Natural	NA
Redd count trends for bull trout	Fish	Spawning/Nesting (ID: 507)	Fish Origin: Natural	NA
Redd count trends for ChS in Warm Springs River Watershed	Fish	Spawning/Nesting (ID: 507)	Fish Origin: Natural	NA
Redd count trends for Steelhead in Warm Springs River Watershed	Fish	Spawning/Nesting (ID: 507)	Fish Origin: Natural	NA
StS redd counts Warm Springs River Watershed upstream of WSNFH	Fish	Spawning/Nesting (ID: 507)	Fish Origin: Natural	NA
ChS redd counts Warm Springs River Watershed downstream of WSNFH	Fish	Spawning/Nesting (ID: 507)	Fish Origin: Both	NA
Redd count trends for Spring Chinook in Shitike Creek	Fish	Spawning/Nesting (ID: 507)	Fish Origin: Both	NA
Redd count trends for StS in Shitike, Nina, Eagle, & Skookum Cr	Fish	Spawning/Nesting (ID: 507)	Fish Origin: Both	NA
Spring Chinook (ChS) redd counts in Shitike Creek	Fish	Spawning/Nesting (ID: 507)	Fish Origin: Both	NA
Steelhead (StS) redd counts in Shitike, Nina, Eagle, & Skookum	Fish	Spawning/Nesting (ID: 507)	Fish Origin: Both	NA
StS redd counts Warm Springs River watershed downstream of WSNFH	Fish	Spawning/Nesting (ID: 507)	Fish Origin: Both	NA

Area of Inference:

Name	Value
HUC4 - Sub Basin	LOWER DESCHUTES

Please correct the errors noted below.

Implementation Metrics