29676: Rev 1: WE A: Work Element Summary

Work Element Summary PDF

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Basics

Contract Number:

29676

Contract Title:

199105100 EXP M&E STATISTICAL SUPPORT FOR LIFE-CYCLE STUDIES

Contract Start Date:

1/1/2007

Contract End Date:

12/31/2007

WE ID:

162. Analyze/Interpret Data

Work Element Usage Report

Title:

A: 162 - Provide RealTime predictions

Description:

This task estimates in real time the “percent of run to date” and the “date to specified percentiles” during the spring and summer smolt outmigration periods for 41 salmonid stocks, ESUs, and composite groups. Results are posted daily on the DART website, http://www.cbr.washington.edu/crisprt/. The task ends with an end-of-year evaluation of the accuracy of the run-timing predictions.

WE Agreement Type:

Contracted

Deliverable Specification:

Deliverables for this task include the following:

1. Maintain statistical software for RealTime forecasts.
2. Post inseason migration forecasts on the internet.
3. Produce a post-season evaluation of the accuracy of the run-timing predictions.

WSE Effective Budget:

$86,300

% of Total WSE Effective Budget:

21.87%

WSE Start:

01/01/2007

WSE End:

11/30/2007

WSE Completion:

12/21/2007

WSE Progress:

Concluded

WSE ID Continued From:

n/a

WSE ID Continued To:

n/a

Finite or Recurring:

Recurring

Budget History

SOWRevision	Planned	Updated	Contractor Comments (optional)	BPA Comments (optional)
Work Element Budget (Current Performance Period)	$86,308	$86,300

Milestones

4 Milestones

Sort	Type	Title	Start	End	Status	Modified By	Modified Date
A		Maintain statistical software for inseason RealTime predictions	1/1/2007	4/10/2007	Concluded	Craig Scanlan	9/21/2006 12:52:57 PM
		Description: Predictive software will be calibrated, taking into account the 2006 performance. Additional stocks will be added to the program as requested by the fisheries community.
B		Perform inseason migration and post on the internet (DART)	4/10/2007	9/14/2007	Concluded	Craig Scanlan	9/21/2006 3:37:10 PM
		Description: Daily predictions of migration status of over 40 stocks will be posted on the internet (DART) for public access and use. Any agency requests for additional detailed information will be responded to on an "as needed" basis.
C		Produce post-season evaluation of the accuracy of the run-timing predictions	10/1/2007	11/30/2007	Concluded	Craig Scanlan	9/21/2006 1:08:13 PM
		Description: Annual report of post-season evaluation of the accuracy of the run-timing predictions.
D	DELIV	Provide RealTime predictions		11/30/2007	Concluded	Craig Scanlan	9/21/2006 1:08:42 PM
		Description: Deliverables for this task include the following: 1. Maintain statistical software for RealTime forecasts. 2. Post inseason migration forecasts on the internet. 3. Produce a post-season evaluation of the accuracy of the run-timing predictions.

Metrics

Implementation Metrics

Metric	Planned	Actual	Contractor Comments	Measures	HLIs
1464. Primary R, M, and E Focal Strategy [Population Status, Hydrosystem, Tributary Habitat, Estuary/Ocean, Harvest, Hatchery, Predation, Multiple Strategies]	Multiple Strategies	Multiple Strategies

Location

<a target='blank' href='https://www.monitoringresources.org/Designer/Design/Index'>Location data for Area of Inference (AOI) should be entered into MonitoringResources.org. Click here to go to that site.</a>

Focal Species

Primary Focal Species:

All Anadromous Salmonids

Secondary Focal Species:

None

Environmental Compliance

This work element does not require Environmental Compliance

RM&E Metadata

Data Repositories:

Study Plan:

Area of Inference:

Please correct the errors noted below.

Implementation Metrics