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Columbia Basin Fish and Wildlife Program Columbia Basin Fish and Wildlife Program
Select a work element:
Contract Number:
Contract Title:
199105100 EXP M & E STATISTICAL SUPPORT FOR LIFE-CYCLE STUDIES
Contract Start Date:
1/1/2010
Contract End Date:
12/31/2010
Title:
A: 162 - Provide RealTime predictions
Description:
This task estimates in real time the “percent of run to date” and the “date to specified percentiles” during the spring and summer smolt outmigration periods for 46 salmonid stocks, ESUs, and composite groups. Results are posted daily on the DART website, http://www.cbr.washington.edu/crisprt/. The task ends with an end-of-year evaluation of the accuracy of the run-timing predictions.
WE Agreement Type:
Contracted
Deliverable Specification:
Deliverables for this task include the following:

1. Maintain statistical software for RealTime forecasts.
2. Post inseason migration forecasts on the internet.
3. Produce a post-season evaluation of the accuracy of the run-timing predictions.
WSE Effective Budget:
$87,456
% of Total WSE Effective Budget:
22.09%
WSE Start:
01/01/2010
WSE End:
11/30/2010
WSE Completion:
11/30/2010
WSE Progress:
Concluded
WSE ID Continued From:
n/a
WSE ID Continued To:
n/a
Finite or Recurring:
Recurring

SOWRevision Planned Updated Contractor Comments (optional) BPA Comments (optional)
Work Element Budget (Current Performance Period) $88,499 $87,456

4 Milestones
Sort Type Title Start End Status Modified By Modified Date
A Maintain statistical software for inseason RealTime predictions 1/1/2010 4/13/2010 Concluded Craig Scanlan 8/3/2009 11:43:18 AM
Description: Predictive software, Program RealTime, will be calibrated, based on the performance from the previous year. Additional stocks will be added to the program as requested by the fisheries community.
B Perform inseason migration and post on the internet (DART) 4/13/2010 9/13/2010 Concluded Craig Scanlan 8/3/2009 11:43:18 AM
Description: Daily predictions of migration status of 46 stocks will be posted on the internet (DART) for public access and use. Any agency requests for additional detailed information will be responded to on an "as needed" basis.
C Produce post-season evaluation of the accuracy of the run-timing predictions 10/1/2010 11/30/2010 Concluded Craig Scanlan 8/3/2009 11:43:18 AM
Description: Annual report of post-season evaluation of the performance of the run-timing predictions.
D DELIV Provide RealTime predictions 11/30/2010 Concluded Craig Scanlan 8/3/2009 11:43:18 AM
Description: Deliverables for this task include the following: 1. Maintain statistical software for RealTime forecasts. 2. Post inseason migration forecasts on the internet. 3. Produce a post-season evaluation of the accuracy of the run-timing predictions.

<a target='blank' href='https://www.monitoringresources.org/Designer/Design/Index'>Location data for Area of Inference (AOI) should be entered into MonitoringResources.org. Click here to go to that site.</a>
Primary Focal Species:
Chinook (Oncorhynchus tshawytscha) - All Populations; Sockeye (Oncorhynchus nerka) - All Populations; Steelhead (Oncorhynchus mykiss) - All Populations; Coho (Oncorhynchus kisutch) - Lower Columbia River ESU (Threatened); Coho (O. kisutch) - Unspecified Population
Secondary Focal Species:
None

This work element does not require Environmental Compliance
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