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Archive | Date | Time | Type | From | To | By |
Download | 7/30/2010 | 4:18 PM | Status | Draft | ISRP - Pending First Review | <System> |
10/15/2010 | 5:55 PM | Status | ISRP - Pending First Review | ISRP - Pending Response | <System> | |
Download | 11/15/2010 | 4:16 PM | Status | ISRP - Pending Response | ISRP - Pending Final Review | <System> |
1/14/2011 | 10:43 AM | Status | ISRP - Pending Final Review | Pending Council Recommendation | <System> | |
7/7/2011 | 11:28 AM | Status | Pending Council Recommendation | Pending BPA Response | <System> |
Proposal Number:
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RMECAT-1989-024-01 | |
Proposal Status:
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Pending BPA Response | |
Proposal Version:
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Proposal Version 1 | |
Review:
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RME / AP Category Review | |
Portfolio:
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RM&E Cat. Review - Artificial Production | |
Type:
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Existing Project: 1989-024-01 | |
Primary Contact:
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Joshua Hanson (Inactive) | |
Created:
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6/3/2010 by (Not yet saved) | |
Proponent Organizations:
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Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife |
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Project Title:
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Umatilla Juvenile Salmonid Outmigration and Survival | |
Proposal Short Description:
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This project proposes to continue ongoing smolt monitoring activities of the ESA-listed Umatilla River steelhead population, to intensively monitor steelhead population responses to habitat restoration activities, and to expand the scope of smolt monitoring activities to include Chinook salmon. We also propose to collaborate in the development and implementation of a standardized habitat status and trend monitoring program that spans the Columbia Basin that is being proposed by ISEMP. | |
Proposal Executive Summary:
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This project originally began in 1994 as the Umatilla Juvenile Salmonid Outmigration and Survival Project (1989-024-01); following initial studies beginning in 1989 that evaluated the passage of juvenile fish at irrigation diversion facilities [Evaluation of Juvenile Salmonid Bypass Facilities and Passage at Water Diversions on the Lower Umatilla River]. The project was requested by the Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife (ODFW) and the Confederated Tribes of the Umatilla Indian Reservation (CTUIR) based on both a local and regional high priority need for information on life history characteristics, survival, and success of hatchery- and naturally-reared salmon and steelhead in the Umatilla River (Boyce 1986; CTUIR and ODFW 1989; NPPC 1994). The project provided co-managers with annual estimates of smolt abundance, migration timing and survival, life history characteristics and productivity status and trends for all anadromous salmonid species in the Umatilla River basin. Project objectives were primarily accomplished through trapping and tagging juvenile outmigrants on the lower river. The project coordinated with ODFW’s Umatilla Hatchery Monitoring and Evaluation Project (1990-005-00) and CTUIR’s Umatilla Basin Natural Production Monitoring and Evaluation Project (1990-005-01) to provide managers with information in support of the Umatilla River Fisheries Restoration Program (CTUIR and ODFW 2004). At the request of the ISRP, the three projects produced the "Comprehensive Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation Plan for Umatilla Subbasin Summer Steelhead and Chinook Salmon" (Schwartz and Cameron 2006) to guide future RME in the Umatilla Subbasin. However, funding for the Outmigration and Survival Project was eliminated in 2007. In 2006 the ISRP expressed the need for a complete Umatilla Program review to help the panel understand the complexity and relationships among the Umatilla River Fisheries Restoration Program's projects. This review was completed in 2007, and included an ISRP site visit on May 16-17, 2007, and presentations made to the panel by ODFW and CTUIR personnel. In their review (ISRP 2007b), the panel noted that "…the biological effectiveness of habitat restoration is not being adequately evaluated. Habitat restoration effectiveness monitoring and evaluation within the Umatilla is needed." Panel comments were positive regarding the Juvenile Outmigration and Survival Project, and recognized that the information this project provided was essential to establishing benefits from habitat enhancement. In 2009, the Outmigration and Survival Project was restarted, but with a narrowed focus that only included ESA-listed Umatilla River steelhead. This project proposal is to continue ongoing activities of the Umatilla Juvenile Outmigration and Survival Project. We also propose additional activities, integrated with the goals of existing Umatilla M&E projects, to intensively monitor the response of the natural steelhead population to watershed-scale habitat restoration. This portion of the project will provide statistically valid estimates of steelhead population viability parameters and rigorous assessments of temporal habitat changes at multiple spatial scales. Finally, in 2008 Umatilla co-managers implemented HSRG recommend hatchery reform strategies (HSRG 2004) that are aimed at establishing locally-adapted natural spring and fall Chinook salmon populations. Therefore, we also propose to expand the scope of smolt monitoring activities to once again include all anadroumous salmonid species. Specifically, we propose to 1) operate PIT tag detection system at Three Mile Falls Dam to monitor movement; 2) operate smolt traps to estimate smolt abundance and mark smolts for survival and migration characteristics assessment; 3) conduct spawning surveys to determine spawner distribution; 4) conduct juvenile fish surveys to determine rearing distribution and density; 5) conduct habitat surveys to characterize the quantity, quality, and distribution of steelhead habitat in the Umatilla River Subbasin. Data analyses will integrate life stage specific survival and life history information to derive and assess the key performance metrics. The monitoring of habitat status/trends will be conducted in the Umatilla under the Columbia Habitat Monitoring Program (CHaMP) that is being proposed under a related project by the Integrated Status and Trend Monitoring Program (ISEMP). This work will include: monitoring of habitat/channel/riparian/macroinvertebrate conditions using the ISEMP recommended habitat protocol at an annual panel of twenty-five (25) sites selected using a general random-tessellation stratified (GRTS) design guided by the ISEMP site selection protocol, and other ISEMP tools, standards, and training provided by ISEMP. Data collected under this deliverable will be entered and controlled for accuracy and quality by the proposer within data management tools provided by ISEMP and will be stored/archived for analysis in the STEM data bank. |
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Purpose:
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Programmatic | |
Emphasis:
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RM and E | |
Species Benefit:
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Anadromous: 100.0% Resident: 0.0% Wildlife: 0.0% | |
Supports 2009 NPCC Program:
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Yes | |
Subbasin Plan:
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Fish Accords:
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None | |
Biological Opinions:
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Overview
Populations of summer steelhead (Onchorhynchus mykiss) were substantially reduced and Chinook (O. tshawytscha) and coho salmon (O. kisutch) were extirpated from the Umatilla River in the early 1900s as a result of extensive agricultural and irrigation development that resulted in habitat destruction, compromised fish passage, and inadequate stream flows (USBR 1988). In the early 1980s the Umatilla Basin Fisheries Restoration Program was initiated by the Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife (ODFW) and the Confederated Tribes of the Umatilla Indian Reservation (CTUIR) to mitigate for population losses. A comprehensive plan incorporating habitat restoration, flow enhancement, fish passage improvements, and artificial production was developed in 1986 (Boyce 1986). The Northwest Power and Conservation Council's Columbia River Basin Fish and Wildlife Program authorized construction of the Umatilla Fish Hatchery in 1986, the Umatilla Hatchery Master Plan (CTUIR and ODFW 1990) was approved in 1990, and the hatchery was completed in 1991. Implementation of fish passage improvements began in 1984, whereas habitat restoration efforts began in 1987 and flow enhancement strategies were implemented in the 1990s (St. Hilaire 2007; USBR and BPA 1989).
The Umatilla Fish Hatchery is the foundation for rehabilitating Chinook salmon and supplementing steelhead in the Umatilla River (CTUIR and ODFW 1990). Annual return goals for naturally-produced adults of each species were established in the Umatilla Subbasin Plan (DeBano et al. 2004), but they have rarely, if ever, been reached. In 1999, NOAA Fisheries listed natural steelhead within the Middle-Columbia River Distinct Population Segment (DPS), which includes the Umatilla River population, as threatened under the Endangered Species Act. Umatilla steelhead population viability is currently rated as “maintained” and the MPG is currently below viability criteria. The Umatilla population must reach and remain at viable status for the DPS to attain delisting criteria (Carmichael and Taylor 2009; NOAA 2009).
In 2009, managers began implementation of recommendations made by the Hatchery Scientific Review Group (HSRG 2009) to establish Conservation Groups of hatchery fall and spring Chinook salmon broodstock, which will be maintained concurrently with Harvest broodstock groups. Eggs for the Conservation Groups are from adults that were naturally produced in the Umatilla River basin whereas Harvest Group eggs are from Umatilla Fish Hatchery- produced adults. The goal of this program is to develop sustainable natural Chinook salmon populations while maintaining harvest benefits.
Juvenile Outmigration and Survival Monitoring Activities
The Evaluation of Juvenile Salmonid Outmigration and Survival in the Lower Umatilla River Basin (O&S Project; 1989-024-01) was established in 1994; following initial studies beginning in 1989 that evaluated the passage of juvenile fish at irrigation diversion facilities. The O&S Project was requested by the ODFW and CTUIR based on both a local and regional high priority need for information on life history characteristics, survival, and success of hatchery- and naturally-reared salmon and steelhead in the Umatilla River (Boyce 1986; CTUIR and ODFW 1989; NPPC 1994). More specifically, the project was intended to supplement ongoing efforts by the Umatilla Hatchery Monitoring and Evaluation (1990-005-00) and Umatilla River Natural Production Monitoring and Evaluation (1990-005-01) projects to address the following questions:
1. Are juvenile salmon and steelhead surviving and successfully migrating out of the Umatilla River basin?
2. What is the natural production potential for salmon and steelhead in the Umatilla River basin?
3. What are the effects of supplementation on steelhead in the Umatilla River basin?
Ongoing habitat enhancement projects, identified in the Umatilla/Willow Subbasin Plan (DeBano 2004), are expected to result in significant improvements to salmon and steelhead productivity. Additionally, implementation of recommendations made by the Hatchery Scientific Review Group (HSRG 2009) to establish Conservation Groups of hatchery fall and spring Chinook salmon broodstock may aid in creating self-sustaining natural populations. This project will provide important population-level survival, productivity and life history information that is necessary to better understand the relationships between habitat conditions, hatchery programs, and the production of smolts within the basin. Managers will use information we provide to judge the success of habitat enhancement and hatchery reform.
Intensively Monitored Watershed (IMW) Activities
Including the ongoing Juvenile Outmigration and Survival Project, the Umatilla River basin currently has four monitoring and evaluation projects in place to track the status and viability of natural or hatchery fish populations. However, the current fish monitoring program has significant weaknesses. For example, steelhead redd surveys do not employ a spatially balanced sampling design and there is no tributary-specific monitoring of juvenile steelhead densities and distributions within the basin. Therefore, a portion of the IMW activities will focus on tributary-specific fish population monitoring that will be required to determine with an adequate level of scientific certainty whether management actions implemented to recover steelhead and establish natural Chinook salmon populations are working as intended. The focal species for the project will be ESA-listed steelhead, but information on salmon populations will be collected opportunistically to support existing Umatilla M&E goals. Metrics measured will relate to juvenile steelhead population density and spatial distribution, and abundance and distribution of steelhead spawners and redds. Data gathered from this work will also be used by CTUIR’s Biomonitoring Project (2009-014-00), whose objective is to evaluate habitat restoration efforts implemented by CTUIR to improve salmon, steelhead, and bull trout habitat within five Columbia subbasins (John Day, Grande Ronde, Umatilla, Tucannon, and Walla Walla) that constitute their ceded lands.
Our generalized null hypothesis is that there will be no difference in the population metrics we measure between treatment and reference watersheds. We will evaluate our hypothesis with a Before-After-Control-Impact type design, and by time series analysis on the measured metrics.
A second portion of the IMW activities will focus on habitat monitoring. The habitat monitoring goal of this project is to implement a standard set of fish habitat monitoring methods in select watershed of the Columbia River basin. The fish habitat monitoring methods have been developed to capture habitat features that drive fish population biology and the 26 watersheds chosen maximize the contrast in current habitat conditions and also represent a temporal gradient of expected change in condition through planned habitat actions. The data from this project will be used to evaluate the quantity and quality of tributary fish habitat available to salmonids across the Columbia River basin. When combined with parallel fish monitoring metrics from related projects, these data will also be used assess the impact of habitat management actions on fish population processes.
In support of habitat restoration, rehabilitation and conservation action performance assessments and adaptive management requirements of the 2008 FCRPS Biological Opinion (BiOp), the Bonneville Power Administration is working with NOAA and other regional fish management agencies to implement a tributary habitat action effectiveness strategy across the Columbia River basin (FCRPS BO RPA 56.3).
The strategy has three basic approaches to addressing the question of, “can we quantify the impact of stream habitat management actions in terms of changes in fish population processes?” The first approach is through watershed-scale experimental manipulations where an explicit cause-and-effect framework is established around stream habitat management actions with fish population process metrics as the response variable. These Intensively Monitored Watersheds (IMW) are the most direct manner by which a connection between the quantity and quality of stream habitat and fish population processes can be established; however, they are expensive, difficult to coordinate and implement, and cannot be run everywhere as the experimental designs are sufficiently restrictive on when and where actions of a specified type can be implemented such that they aren’t compatible with all watershed management scenarios. Two alternative to IMWs have been suggested, both dependent on modeling to connect habitat condition to fish population response: reach-scale habitat action effectiveness monitoring and watershed-scale habitat and fish status and trends monitoring. In both cases, habitat action implementation and habitat and fish monitoring are not coordinated to explicitly demonstrate changes in fish population processes as caused by changes in habitat quality and quantity, but through statistical modeling, fish and habitat metrics can be correlated, and in an observational studies manner, their relationships can be quantified. Habitat action effectiveness and status and trends monitoring are less restrictive in terms of when and where they can be implemented, and thus are ideally suited to broad-scale comparisons.
The habitat status and trends monitoring proposed in the Columbia Habitat Monitoring Program (CHaMP) is a Columbia River basin wide habitat status and trends monitoring program built around a single habitat monitoring protocol (a protocol being a set of methods and associated metrics, Oakely 2003), with a program-wide approach to data collection and management. This program will result in systematic habitat status and trends information that will be used to assess basin-wide habitat condition and correlated with biological response indicators to evaluate habitat management strategies.
The Columbia Habitat Monitoring Program includes monitoring the status and trends of fish habitat for at least one population per major population group (MPG) as identified in the AA/NOAA/NPCC BiOp RM&E Recommendations Report (FCRPS AA 2010) and the table below (Table 1). The program is designed to maximize the information content of the habitat monitoring data through coordinated, standardized implementation of a single habitat monitoring protocol (Bouwes et al. 2010) across multiple watersheds and projects. To meet this goal, CHaMP collaborators will be supported by cross-project data management, stewardship and analysis staff. All participants’ work in the program will be coordinated through a single project manager and a set of annual pre- and post-season meetings. Finally, all collaborators will participate in annual field protocol and data management tool implementation training sessions. The support, coordination and training is critical to ensure the results of these monitoring projects can be combined effectively in the development of relationships and models under FCRPS BO RPA 57.5 and needed assessments in the future under FCRPS BO RPA 3.
Table 1. Major population groups identified for fish habitat status and trends monitoring.
Background and Assumptions – Anadromous salmonids spawn and rear in most of the streams of the Pacific Northwest, and it is reasonable to assume that the quality and quantity of habitat in these environments determines multiple population processes of these fishes. Monitoring programs are expected to describe the physical and biological characteristics of stream habitat across the Pacific Northwest. Recovery and management plans are expected to be based on this information to assess current conditions and to predict future salmonid production under multiple scenarios, from status quo, alternative land and river management strategies, to stream restoration and conservation, and determine if these predictions hold true. Since we are dealing with listed species, it suggests that we have not been effective at using past monitoring information to make sound management decisions meant to preserve these resources. Possible explanations for the inability to use monitoring information in the development of effective management strategies could include, but are not limited to, a fundamental misinterpretation or misunderstanding of fish natural history, a failure to characterize physical and biological habitat in a manner relevant to fish population processes, or an inability to develop large-scale data in a consistent enough manner to support broad-scale analyses and application. While it is probably a combination of all three, the latter two factors are likely dominant and thus the most critical components to build into the regional habitat monitoring program.
Making progress in linking habitat quality and quantity to fish population processes requires minimizing sampling and measurement error and maximizing information content in habitat monitoring metrics. The former is an issue dealt with best by rigorous sampling design and the latter, through the development of targeted habitat metrics. The implementation of CHaMP is based on elements of both, but also on the continual testing, evaluation and development of methods to allow regional programs to meet the key management objectives of being able to quantify fish tributary habitat and predict the fish-biological response to habitat management actions.
As a structure for statistically rigorous habitat data collection, CHaMP is based on a Generalized Random-Tessellation Sampling design with a 3 year rotating 1-to-1 split panel structure to distribute sampling effort in space and time (Stevens and Olsen 2004). In this case, sampling is spatially balanced but random – sites are maximally dispersed, but still contain a random spatial location so that coverage is efficient and estimation is not compromised. The temporal structure hybridizes annual and rotating panels to gain the power of both status and trends designs. Status monitoring provides information on the quantity and quality of current habitat and thus maximizes spatial coverage at fixed temporal points. Trend monitoring is optimized to detect changes in habitat through time and thus is best done by repeatedly sampling fixed locations. A split panel design, 50:50 in this case, fixes the location of half of each year’s samples (the annual panel) and allocates the remaining half to a rotating panel set – in this case, 3 additional panels, each of the same size as the annual panel, one being implemented each year on a three year rotation.
Detecting patterns in the habitat data (spatial and temporal) as well as relating these data to other, independent metrics such as fish population processes, is fundamentally a matter of managing variability – habitat conditions vary across space and through time, and our ability to measure them varies between methods and within methods across crews. Thus, to detect any patterns or form any modeled associations, requires the ability to partition the variability in the data in a useful manner. Implementing a rigorous design and minimizing sampling and measurement error will be crucial in order to partition variance into 4 key components – spatial, temporal, space x time, and residual. The sampling design allows estimation of the spatial and temporal terms. Adding repeat visits within the index sampling period allows the estimation of the space-time interaction. At this point, all residual variation is “unexplained”, and thus the key determinant of a metric’s relative information content. Recent research and discussions have been carried out to improve the precision and accuracy of stream habitat protocols in the Columbia River Basin (Kaufmann et al. 1999; Whitacre et al 2007; Roper et al. 2010). Through better coordination of regional monitoring programs, increased training of field crews, and greater standardization of terminology there has been a general trend towards improving protocols to reduce the internal, relative error, or the residual variance.
The information content of a habitat metric also needs to be evaluated on an absolute scale—that is, these metrics need to characterize physical and biological habitat in a manner relevant to fish population processes. The Integrated Status and Effectiveness Monitoring Program (ISEMP, BPA 2003-017) has been developing descriptors of physical and biological habitat to predict fish population processes by reviewing the basic principles of fish habitat requirements and matching these needs with measurable habitat indicators (Bouwes et al., 2010). For example, spawning adults have specific substrate size requirements, hyporheic flow preferences, and proximities to cover that define an optimal redd construction location. Another example is rearing juveniles must balance the need to occupy areas with high flow velocities that allow effective foraging while remaining in proximity to low velocity holding areas and overhead cover to avoid predators. Realizing these types of complex interactions forms the basis for developing fish monitoring programs. However, in doing so we assume to have complete knowledge of the habitat requirements of fish, and since that is certainly not the case, habitat monitoring programs must collect information that is rich enough to allow further discovery of un-described and potentially important interactions between fish and their habitat.
Finally, the sampling design and the habitat metrics are not independent – the scale of inference addressed by the design must be appropriate based on the scale of the metrics developed by the site level response design. Monitoring programs must be sensitive to the physical and biological processes across multiple scales. Specific habitat characteristics result from physical and biological processes that function at process specific spatial and temporal scales. For example, pool-riffle complexes form as a result of stream power and substrate size and mobility, and will be formed and maintained by watershed specific dynamics and land-use. Similarly, stream productivity depends on watershed-scale thermal regimes and water chemistry, so will be similar at reach scales, but diverse across a river basin. These features of spatial and temporal autocorrelation exist in all physical and biological stream characteristics and in the fish populations that depend on them. This determines the amount of information any measurement in the stream shares with a measurement at the same spot at a different time, or at a different spots at the same time. Without incorporating or understanding these “information scales” we cannot make independent measurements of stream physical and biological processes, and thus cannot build quantitative relationships to predict their interdependence.
Collaborate in the development and implementation of a standardized habitat status and trend monitoring program that spans the Columbia Basin. (CHaMP)
The Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife (ODFW) seeks to assist the Bonneville Power Administration develop and implement a standardized habitat status and trend monitoring program that spans the Columbia Basin. To this effect, ODFW will implement habitat monitoring for status/trends in the Umatilla under a new program proposed and coordinated by the Integrated Status and Trend Monitoring Program (ISEMP) called the Columbia Habitat Monitoring Program, referred to herein by the acronym “CHaMP” that spans the Columbia Basin.
Monitor the status and trend of the abundance and productivity of salmon and steelhead in the Umatilla River Subbasin. (OBJ-1)
Annual estimates and time-series trends of spawner abundance, smolt abundance, smolts/spawner, and adult recruits per spawner for natural origin salmon and steelhead.
Monitor the status and trend of the spatial structure of juvenile and adult steelhead in the Umatilla River Subbasin. (OBJ-2)
Annual estimates and time-series trends of the distribution and density of spawners on the spawning grounds and juveniles on the rearing grounds.
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Monitor the status and trend of the survival of Umatilla River Subbasin salmon and steelhead. (OBJ-3)
Annual estimates and time-series trends of life-stage specific survival for natural origin salmon and steelhead.
Monitor the status and trend of the diversity of salmon and summer steelhead in the Umatilla River Subbasin. (OBJ-4)
Annual characterization and time-series trends of spawn timing, age at emigration, size at emigariton, condition at emigration, and emigration timing for natural origin salmon and steelhead.
Determine if restoration actions increase steelhead survival and productivity at the population and watershed scale. (OBJ-5)
Quantification of relationships between individual and cumulative restoration actions and fish survival and productivity at the population and watershed scale.
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To view all expenditures for all fiscal years, click "Project Exp. by FY"
To see more detailed project budget information, please visit the "Project Budget" page
Expense | SOY Budget | Working Budget | Expenditures * |
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FY2019 | $443,850 | $499,254 | $524,734 |
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BiOp FCRPS 2008 (non-Accord) | $499,254 | $524,734 | |
FY2020 | $499,254 | $532,210 | $532,840 |
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BiOp FCRPS 2008 (non-Accord) | $532,210 | $532,840 | |
FY2021 | $542,070 | $585,718 | $541,480 |
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BiOp FCRPS 2008 (non-Accord) | $585,718 | $541,480 | |
FY2022 | $553,250 | $560,389 | $511,891 |
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BiOp FCRPS 2008 (non-Accord) | $560,389 | $511,891 | |
FY2023 | $625,440 | $625,440 | $637,349 |
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BiOp FCRPS 2008 (non-Accord) | $625,440 | $637,349 | |
FY2024 | $0 | $0 | $92,667 |
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BiOp FCRPS 2008 (non-Accord) | $0 | $92,667 | |
FY2025 | $0 | ($3,829) | |
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BiOp FCRPS 2008 (non-Accord) | $0 | ($3,829) | |
* Expenditures data includes accruals and are based on data through 31-Mar-2025 |
Cost Share Partner | Total Proposed Contribution | Total Confirmed Contribution |
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There are no project cost share contributions to show. |
Fiscal Year | Total Contributions | % of Budget | ||
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2024 | ||||
2023 | $5,040 | 1% | ||
2022 | $5,040 | 1% | ||
2021 | $5,040 | 1% | ||
2020 | $4,830 | 1% | ||
2019 | ||||
2018 | $5,000 | 1% | ||
2017 | $5,000 | 1% | ||
2016 | $5,000 | 1% | ||
2015 | $5,000 | 1% | ||
2014 | $5,000 | 1% | ||
2013 | $5,000 | 1% | ||
2012 | $5,000 | 1% | ||
2011 | $5,000 | 1% | ||
2010 | $23,000 | 9% | ||
2009 | $18,500 | 8% | ||
2008 | $23,500 | 10% | ||
2007 | $52,240 | 27% |
Annual Progress Reports | |
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Expected (since FY2004): | 17 |
Completed: | 16 |
On time: | 16 |
Status Reports | |
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Completed: | 93 |
On time: | 52 |
Avg Days Late: | 4 |
Count of Contract Deliverables | ||||||||||||||
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Earliest Contract | Subsequent Contracts | Title | Contractor | Earliest Start | Latest End | Latest Status | Accepted Reports | Complete | Green | Yellow | Red | Total | % Green and Complete | Canceled |
4340 | 20425, 24721, 39455, 45075, 50567, 55329, 59392, 63486, 67055, 70542, 74267, 74313 REL 14, 74313 REL 41, 74313 REL 65, 74313 REL 87, 74313 REL 105, 84041 REL 11 | 1989-024-01 EVALUATE UMATILLA JUVENILE SALMONID OUTMIGRATION | Oregon Department of Fish and Wildlife | 04/04/2001 | 10/31/2023 | Closed | 93 | 209 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 214 | 97.66% | 2 |
BPA-4205 | PIT Tags - Eval Umt Juv Outmig | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2008 | 09/30/2009 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
BPA-4571 | PIT Tags - Evaluate Umatilla Juvenile Salmonid Outmigration | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2009 | 09/30/2010 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
BPA-5620 | PIT tags- Eval Umatilla Juvenile Salmon Outmigration | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2010 | 09/30/2011 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
BPA-6319 | PIT Tags- Evaluate Umatilla Juvenile Outmigration | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2011 | 09/30/2012 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
BPA-7015 | PIT Tags - Evaluate Umatilla Juvenile Outmigration | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2012 | 09/30/2013 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
BPA-7719 | PIT Tags - Eval Umatilla Juvenile Outmigration | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2013 | 09/30/2014 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
BPA-8421 | PIT Tags - Eval Umatilla Juvenile Outmigration 15 | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2014 | 09/30/2015 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
BPA-8901 | PIT Tags - Eval Umatilla Juvenile Outmigration 16 | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2015 | 09/30/2016 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
BPA-9512 | PIT Tags - Eval Umatilla Juvenile Outmigration | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2016 | 09/30/2017 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
BPA-10206 | PIT Tags - Eval Umatilla Juvenile Outmigration | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2017 | 09/30/2018 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
BPA-10703 | PIT Tags - Eval Umatilla Juvenile Outmigration | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2018 | 09/30/2019 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
BPA-11697 | FY20 Internal Services/PIT tags | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2019 | 09/30/2020 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
BPA-12058 | FY21 Pit Tags | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2020 | 09/30/2021 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
BPA-12832 | FY22 PIT Tags | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2021 | 09/30/2022 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
BPA-13274 | FY23 PIT Tags | Bonneville Power Administration | 10/01/2022 | 09/30/2023 | Active | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||
Project Totals | 93 | 209 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 214 | 97.66% | 2 |
Contract | WE Ref | Contracted Deliverable Title | Due | Completed |
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24721 | F: 162 | Migration timing and survival estimates to TMFD and JDD. | 1/31/2007 | 1/31/2007 |
39455 | F: 162 | Annual life history characteristics of natural origin steelhead smolts. | 9/30/2009 | 9/30/2009 |
39455 | D: 162 | Natural smolt abundance, migration timing, smolts per spawner, and smolt-to-adult returns. | 9/30/2009 | 9/30/2009 |
View full Project Summary report (lists all Contracted Deliverables and Quantitative Metrics)
Explanation of Performance:Objectives present throughout a significant proportion of the project history and proposed during the 2007-2009 review process were: (1) operate PIT tag detection system at Three Mile Falls Dam, (2) monitor migration timing, abundance and survival of naturally-produced juvenile salmonids and trends in natural production, (3) monitor juvenile life history characteristics and evaluate trends over time, and (4) participate in planning and coordination activities within the Columbia and Umatilla river basins and disseminate results.
Objective 1. Operate PIT tag detection system at Three Mile Falls Dam.
PIT tag technologies have been the cornerstone to the proposed project. Detection equipment was first installed within the juvenile bypass at Three Mile Falls Dam in 1998 and progressed from a 400 kHz detection system with a single antenna and manual data transmission to a 134 kHz detection system with 3 antennas and automated data transmission. Detection within the adult ladder began in 2001 with two 2001F Portable Transceivers and associated paddle style antennas duct tapped to the adult fish viewing window. The system currently includes a custom fabricated PVC antenna mounted within the backlight chamber of the adult fish viewing window, an FS1001M transceiver, and fully automated and integrated data transmission. Upgrades to the system have lead to significant improvement in detection of both juvenile and adult salmon and steelhead at Three Mile Falls Dam (Figure 1 and Table 1). However, the ODFW and CTUIR continue to seek funding for upgrades to PIT tag detection within the adult fish ladder that would facilitate determination of fish directionality, increased detection efficiency, and data redundancy. Detailed documentation of PIT tag improvements and design and construction specifications for the adult fish ladder detection system can be found in White et al. 2007 (https://pisces.bpa.gov/release/documents/documentviewer.aspx?doc=00024721-1).
Figure 1. Detection probability of PIT tagged smolts at Three Mile Falls Dam, 1998-2007.
Table 1. Number of PIT tagged adults detected at Three Mile Falls Dam, 2001-2009.
Objective 2. Monitor migration timing, abundance and survival of naturally-produced juvenile salmonids and trends in natural production.
The proposed project has derived annual estimates of smolt abundance, smolt survival, and emigration timing for naturally-produced salmon and steelhead in the Umatilla River since 1995. In addition, estimates of smolts-per-spawner, egg-to-smolt survival, and smolt-to-adult return for naturally-produced steelhead have been generated.
Smolt abundance of natural fish has fluctuated since 1995. Trends reflect an increase in the production of fall Chinook smolts, a leveling off in the production of spring Chinook, and little or no change in summer steelhead smolt production (Figure 2 and Table 2). Trend analysis showed a positive, but weak relationship between the number of summer steelhead smolts emigrating from the Umatilla River and summer low flow, suggesting that summer rearing space may be limiting freshwater production (Figure 3).
Figure 2. Abundance estimates ± 95% CI for natural spring (top panel) and fall (middle panel) Chinook salmon and summer steelhead (bottom panel), Three Mile Falls Dam, 1995-2009.
Table 2. Abundance estimates ± 95% CI and CV for natural Chinook salmon and summer steelhead smolts at Three Mile Falls Dam, 1995-2009.
Figure 3. Abundance of summer steelhead smolts at Three Mile Falls Dam, as a function of the mean August and September flow the previous two summers before emigration.
Estimated survival for natural Chinook salmon and summer steelhead was substantially higher in 2007 compared to the 8-year average (1999-2006; Table 5). Estimated survival for spring Chinook salmon from TMFD to JDD in 2007 was 114%, fall Chinook salmon was 39%, and summer steelhead was 82%. Survival estimates for natural summer steelhead remained relatively constant from 1999 to 2006 with a minimum survival of 44% observed in 2004. Survival for spring Chinook salmon was more variable with a low of 31% observed in 2004. Estimates for fall Chinook salmon were only available for 2001 and 2005 to 2007. The 2007 estimate was more than twice the previous high of 19% recorded in 2005. Survival of summer steelhead was 61% in 2009. Mechanisms associated with survival of fish tagged by the proposed project have not been fully investigated.
Table 3. In- and out-of-basin survival estimates for juvenile natural salmon and summer steelhead emigrating from the Umatilla River, 1999-2009. Standard errors are in parentheses.
Mean egg-to-smolt survival for summer steelhead was less variable but significantly lower over the last five brood years (0.4%; 2001-2005) compared to brood years 1993 to 2000 (mean = 0.9%), resulting in a decreasing trend (Figure 4). Smolt-to-adult return was 2.8% or above in all years except 1995 and 1996, therefore resulting in an increasing trend (Figure 4). The relatively constant survival rate for summer steelhead smolts from TMFD to JDD (mean = 61%; SD = 10%) suggests variation in smolt-to-adult returns is a result of survival variability downstream of JDD, including the estuary and marine environment. The observed low egg-to-smolt survival and downward trend over the last 13 years suggests in-basin factors are limiting steelhead viability in the Umatilla River. Limiting factors likely include spawning, rearing, and quality of smolt migration habitat.
Figure 4. Egg-to-smolt survival (top panel) and smolt-to-adult return (bottom panel) for Umatilla River summer steelhead, 1993-2007.
Median emigration for naturally and hatchery produced spring Chinook salmon occurs in mid April (Table 4). Median emigration of natural fall Chinook salmon is approximately one week later than hatchery conspecifics, while median emigration for natural summer steelhead is roughly one week earlier than their hatchery counterparts (Tables 5 and 6). More rigorous investigation into emigration timing divergence between hatchery and natural summer steelhead was conducted in 2006 and 2007. Results from these investigation showed that the cumulative distribution of weekly abundance estimates for hatchery and natural summer steelhead were statistically different; however, no large-scale seasonal divergence appeared evident (Figure 5).
Table 4. Week of 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles of spring Chinook salmon at Three Mile Falls Dam, 1995-2009.
Table 5. Week of 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles of fall Chinook salmon at Three Mile Falls Dam, 1995-2009.
Table 6. Week of 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles of summer steelhead at Three Mile Falls Dam, 1995-2009.
Figure 5. Hatchery and natural summer steelhead emigration timing to Three Mile Falls Dam, 2006 (top panel) and 2007 (bottom panel). Bars represent percent of total abundance (y-axis left) and lines represent cumulative percent of total abundance (y-axis right).
Female spawning escapement for summer steelhead in brood year 2005 (1,406) was slightly below the 12-year average (1,468; brood year 1993-2004), with natural fish dominating escapement (Figure 6). The number of smolts produced per spawning female (21) was 42% below the 12-year average (36; Figure 8). Smolt recruitment remained relatively constant irrespective of fluctuations in adult recruitment. This resulted in a downward trend for smolts produced per spawning female (Figure 6) and a strong relationship between female escapement and smolts-per-female (Figure 7). This declining relationship suggests habitat enhancement has not resulted in a significant improvement for summer steelhead and that the system may be at capacity for production of the species. However, the relationship may be related to climatic factors such as drought or the integration of hatchery steelhead in the naturally spawning population across multiple generations. Further analysis of the available data and continued trend monitoring is necessary to better understand the mechanisms influencing the production and productivity of steelhead.
Figure 6. Smolt and adult recruitment for Umatilla River summer steelhead, brood years 1993-2005.
Figure 7. Relationship between female spawning escapement and smolts-per-female for Umatilla River summer steelhead, brood years 1993-2005.
Objective 3. Monitor juvenile life history characteristics and evaluate trends over time.
Size and age at emigration for natural origin Chinook salmon and summer steelhead in the Umatilla River is similar to that of surrounding subbasins (Contor 2004; Fast et al. 1991; Gallinat et al. 2003; Lindsay et al. 1986; Mayer and Schuck 2004; Peven et al. 1994). Spring Chinook salmon are emigrating as yearlings (mean FL = 105 mm), fall Chinook salmon as subyearlings (mean FL = 77 mm), and summer steelhead at a broad distribution of ages (mean FL = 175 mm; Tables 7). One, two, and three-year freshwater rearing accounted for 24.9%, 73.9%, and 1.2% of natural summer steelhead emigrating past TMFD in 2007 (Table 7). The percentage of age-1 summer steelhead emigrants increased, while age-3 decreased, over the past five years. Age and size at emigration for summer steelhead was influenced by egg deposition for brood years 2001-2006 (Figure 8).
Based on smolt age at emigration natural origin summer steelhead appear to be shifting toward a shorter residency time in the Umatilla River. However, freshwater age derived from returning adult scales does not support this observed trend. Possible explanations include age-specific differences in survival, winter rearing in the Columbia River, or an overestimation of age-1 smolts. A longer time series of data, larger sample size, and validation of aging technique is required to confirm a possible life history shift by steelhead.
Table 7. Natural summer steelhead smolt size and age at Three Mile Falls Dam, 1995-2009.
Figure 8. Relationship between percent age-1 smolts and size at emigration (top panel), percent age-1 smolts and egg deposition (middle panel), and age-2 fork length and egg deposition (bottom panel). Brood years 2002-2006 and 2001-2005 for age-1 and age-2 smolts; respectively.
Objective 4. Participate in planning and coordination activities within the Columbia and Umatilla river basins and disseminate results.
All annual progress reports, except for 2009, have been delivered to the Bonneville Power Administration and are available at: https://efw.bpa.gov/searchpublications/. The 2009 report is currently in preparation, with some data reported in the above summaries. Personnel from the proposed project attend the Umatilla Monitoring and Evaluation Oversight Committee on a monthly basis and the Umatilla River Operations group as needed. Data from the project has been critical to both local (Umatilla/Willow Subbasin Plan and Umatilla Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation Plan for Umatilla Subbasin Summer Steelhead and Chinook Salmon) and regional (Conservation and Recovery Plan for Oregon Steelhead Populations in the Middle Columbia River Steelhead Distinct Population Segment, and Middle Columbia River Steelhead Recovery Plan) planning and recovery efforts. Personnel and data from the project have also contributed to the Umatilla Hatchery and Basin Annual Operations Plan, Umatilla Hatchery Genetic Management Plan, and United States Bureau of Reclamation Monitoring and Evaluation Plan.
The proposed project has consistently achieved its purpose and outputs, has been innovative in finding ways to implement PIT tag technologies, and helped guide management decisions in the Umatilla River. Data generated by the proposed project has provided a greater understanding of the successes and failures of restoration and recovery efforts in the Umatilla River by monitoring status and trend of the abundance, productivity, survival, and diversity of natural Chinook salmon and summer steelhead. This information has been critical for both local and regional planning and recovery efforts. The project has been successful at working collaboratively across organizational boundaries and has established a baseline data set that will be critical for tracking changes in fish habitat quality and quantity and relating observed changes to steelhead viability in response to actions implemented under the Federal Columbia River Power System Biological Opinion, Umatilla/Willow Subbasin Plan, Conservation and Recovery Plan for Oregon Steelhead Populations in the Middle Columbia River Steelhead Distinct Population Segment, and Middle Columbia River Steelhead Recovery Plan.
Assessment Number: | 1989-024-01-NPCC-20230310 |
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Project: | 1989-024-01 - Evaluate Umatilla Juvenile Salmonid Outmigration |
Review: | 2022 Anadromous Fish Habitat & Hatchery Review |
Approved Date: | 4/15/2022 |
Recommendation: | Implement |
Comments: |
Bonneville and Sponsor to take the review remarks into consideration in project documentation. This project supports hatchery mitigation authorized under the Northwest Power Act (Council’s Fish and Wildlife Program) for the Umatilla Hatchery program. See Policy Issue I.b., II.a. and II.b. [Background: See https://www.nwcouncil.org/2021-2022-anadromous-habitat-and-hatchery-review/] |
Assessment Number: | 1989-024-01-ISRP-20230309 |
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Project: | 1989-024-01 - Evaluate Umatilla Juvenile Salmonid Outmigration |
Review: | 2022 Anadromous Fish Habitat & Hatchery Review |
Completed Date: | 3/14/2023 |
Final Round ISRP Date: | 2/10/2022 |
Final Round ISRP Rating: | Meets Scientific Review Criteria |
Final Round ISRP Comment: | |
This is a well-written proposal for a project with a long history of critical data acquisition and adaptive changes to increase information and understanding about steelhead in the Umatilla River. The project provides information on population-level survival, productivity, and life history data that is useful for assessing effects of habitat conditions, and restoration and hatchery programs. Of particular interest to the ISRP are the data which show declining smolts-per-female spawner with increasing female escapement (Fig. 3) and the interpretation of it that freshwater habitat is sufficiently seeded (p. 9). The proponents take the interpretation further, suggesting that supplementing the natural population with hatchery-origin fish may not have been an appropriate management strategy. This is a great example of interpreting M&E data to the point where it can be used by decision-makers. However, as the data indicate that spawner numbers are not limiting juvenile production, then there should be a sufficient number of natural origin spawners to supply all the broodstock for the hatchery. Thus, the ISRP found it surprising that the hatchery program was using some hatchery origin returns for broodstock. Clearly, this program is providing lots of useful information for decision-makers, though some of the decisions regarding hatchery production appear to be ignoring some of the findings presented in the proposal. M&E matrix – support. As habitat projects and monitoring projects are not presented as part of an integrated proposal or plan, the need for a crosswalk to identify the linkages between implementation and monitoring is extremely important for basins or geographic areas. The ISRP is requesting a response from the Umatilla Basin Natural Production Monitoring and Evaluation Project (199000501) to summarize the linkages between implementation and monitoring projects in the basin. As a key M&E project and partner in the basin, we ask your project to assist them in creating the summary and provide information to them about what, where, and when your monitoring occurs and what is being monitored for and shared with implementation projects in the basin. A map or maps of locations of monitoring actions would be helpful in this regard. Q1: Clearly defined objectives and outcomes The section on goals and objectives was brief and some were not specific enough. Stating objectives using the SMART format would be helpful and should be presented in the next round of proposal reviews and annual reports. For Objective 4 for example, how the diversity of steelhead will be assessed is unclear. Also, for Objective 5, it is not clear how or when this this will be accomplished. Q2: Methods The methods are generally sound, but there are four areas for potential improvement. Smolt run size is estimated by a series of independent closed-abundance estimates for each period (sampling interval). The length of each period was not specified in the proposal (except for TMF where it is one month), and the ISRP is concerned about the assumption that all marked fish pass the trap during the interval and/or that capture probability is constant over the interval. If this is not the case, capture probability and abundance estimates will be biased. To what extent have these assumptions been tested? If the length of the interval has increased to meet the passage assumption, is it likely that capture probability is not constant over the longer period? A more flexible approach would be to use the Bonner and Schwarz (2011 and 2014, BT SPAS R library) time-stratified estimator. This model can be useful when recaptures for some periods are sparse, or when the trap(s) cannot be operated due to high flows (e.g., Fig. 6 of Hanson et al. 2020), and allows for finer temporal intervals that may lead to more accurate estimates of abundance and run timing. This approach avoids problems with arbitrary pooling of data across periods that is needed if sample sizes are low or trapping is not conducted over some periods. Given the intense effort to mark fish and trap smolts, this analytical upgrade seems well worth it. The precision of smolt run size estimates at TMFD is very high (CVs 1995-2018 =5.4%) and may be an artifact of the analytical procedure (too much pooling). A better model may be more useful in Birch Creek where there are few strata which cover long periods where capture probability is unlikely to be constant as currently assumed (Table 7 of Hanson et al. 2020). Improved estimates of smolt run size at Birch Creek will lead to improved estimates of survival to TMF, which is highly relevant given concerns about survival rates in low-flow years. See Bonner and Schwartz (2011), Bonner and Schwartz (2014), and Hanson et al. (2020) for possible analytical approaches. Egg deposition estimates could be improved by using a fork length-fecundity relationship rather than age-specific fecundity average. This would better account for the decreasing size and age-at-return that has been seen in many Chinook populations over the last decade or more (e.g., Lewis et al. 2015). Would it be possible to develop a corrected SAR value that accounts for losses from fisheries? This would allow for better evaluation of effects of downstream/upstream mainstem passage or marine survival. Currently these effects are confounded with changes in exploitation rate. Would it be possible to calculate the variance on the hatchery:natural ratio using the same binomial likelihood described for the smolt analysis? This error could be substantial for some tributaries where few spawners are observed or where the presence/absence of an adipose fin is difficult to distinguish. Q3: Provisions for M&E The proposal provides very little information on how effects of hatchery supplementation, flow, and habitat improvements on smolt run size or juvenile survival rates will be quantified. We suggest fitting a Ricker model with covariates: log(R/S) = a + b*S + d*X where R is the number of smolts from brood year t, S is egg deposition or female escapement that produced those smolts, a is the log of productivity (R/S when there is no density dependence because S is 0), b is a density-dependent effect, X is a covariate such as flow or some measure of habitat restoration, and d is the coefficient for the covariate (the strength of the effect per unit increase in X). Another covariate to assess could be pHOS, though it could also be included through adjustment of S via, S = S*(1-pHOS) + S*pHOS*e where the first group of terms on the right side of the equation is the contribution of eggs or females from natural origin spawners, the second group of terms is the contribution from hatchery-origin fish where “e” is the estimated effect of hatchery-origin fish on survival from egg-smolt. Essentially S is a weighted average spawner abundance, that accounts for reduced spawning success or lower survival rates of juvenile fish produced from hatchery-origin spawners. It may be challenging to estimate e, depending on the extent of variation in pHOS and survival rates over time. Survival rates between release locations could be evaluated using log(Surv) = b0 +b1*X where b0 and b1 are estimated and X is the covariate to be evaluated. Q4: Results – benefits to fish and wildlife The proposal provides an excellent summary of the many project actions, what was learned from the results, and how the objectives and actions were modified as a result. It also provides information about how these results have influenced management and informed other projects that are closely aligned. The results have contributed to broader efforts in status and trend monitoring, and can be used in future life-cycle modeling. One key problem in the subbasin is that both habitat restoration and hatchery supplementation affect steelhead abundance and survival in the Umatilla River, and so the effects are confounded. The proponents propose tributary-specific monitoring to allow separating the effects of these actions, and this is a high priority for funding. References Bonner, S.J. and Schwarz, C.J. 2014. BTSPAS: Bayesian Time Stratified Petersen Analysis System. R package version 2014.0901. Bonner, S.J. and Schwarz, C.J. 2011. Smoothed estimates for time-stratified mark-recapture experiments using a Bayesian P-spline approach. Biometrics 67:1498-1507. Hanson, J.T. Jewett, S.M. and S. Remple. 2020. Evaluation of juvenile salmonid outmigration and survival in the Lower Umatilla River Basin. 2019 Annual Report BPA Project #1989-024-01. Lewis, B., W.S. Grant, R.E. Brenner, and T. Hamazaki. 2015. Changes in size and age of Chinook salmon Oncorhynchus tshawytscha returning to Alaska. PLoS ONE 10(6):e0130184. Ohlberger, J., E.J. Ward, D.E. Schindler, and B. Lewis. 2018. Demographic changes in Chinook salmon across the Northeast Pacific Ocean. Fish and Fisheries 19:533-546. |
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Documentation Links: |
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Assessment Number: | 1989-024-01-NPCC-20110124 |
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Project: | 1989-024-01 - Evaluate Umatilla Juvenile Salmonid Outmigration |
Review: | RME / AP Category Review |
Proposal: | RMECAT-1989-024-01 |
Proposal State: | Pending BPA Response |
Approved Date: | 6/10/2011 |
Recommendation: | Fund (Qualified) |
Comments: | Implement with condition through 2016: Implementation subject to regional hatchery effects evaluation process described in programmatic recommendation #4. |
Conditions: | |
Council Condition #1 Programmatic Issue: RMECAT #4 Hatchery Effectiveness—subject to regional hatchery effects evaluation process |
Assessment Number: | 1989-024-01-ISRP-20101015 |
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Project: | 1989-024-01 - Evaluate Umatilla Juvenile Salmonid Outmigration |
Review: | RME / AP Category Review |
Proposal Number: | RMECAT-1989-024-01 |
Completed Date: | 12/17/2010 |
Final Round ISRP Date: | 12/17/2010 |
Final Round ISRP Rating: | Meets Scientific Review Criteria |
Final Round ISRP Comment: | |
The ISRP’s comments were addressed in a thoughtful, comprehensive manner. The response was thorough and gave frank consideration of issues raised by ISRP. The proponents provided detailed answers to ISRP questions and comments that clarified issues concerning the M&E program, especially the IMW project.
The proponents provided a reasonable justification for the design of the IMW project, which involves comparison between two treatment streams and a reference stream to assess effectiveness of habitat restoration in the treatment streams. Although the proponents argued that the treatment and reference streams were physiographically and biologically similar enough to provide valid results when compared, they were forthright and objective in discussing the limitations of the design, limitations that likely will be common to many future IMW projects. Given the differences among the treatment and reference tributaries in many biological and physical habitat features, and past management actions, the strongest comparisons may be Before-After comparisons within tributaries in response to habitat restoration. Additional comparisons among tributaries that depend on similar "background" effects of supplementation can be made, but regression analysis using key covariates may be a more useful approach, as the proponents suggest. One of the limitations of concern to the ISRP is the uncertainty of the degree of hatchery influence which could affect comparability of the treatment and reference streams. Another potential problem is that habitat restoration actions in the treatment streams have been ongoing for some time. The effects of these actions will continue beyond the initiation of the IMW project making it difficult to separate biological and habitat responses resulting from pre-treatment habitat enhancement actions from those occurring post-treatment, after project initiation. This residual effect of pre-treatment actions may complicate before-after comparisons. Finally, given the extent of habitat degradation in the treatment streams, will the proposed restoration actions in these streams, especially Meacham Creek, be great enough to produce a significant, detectable biological response? The proponents should consider how they will deal with these problems analytically or through modification of their design. |
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First Round ISRP Date: | 10/18/2010 |
First Round ISRP Rating: | Response Requested |
First Round ISRP Comment: | |
This project proposes status and trend monitoring of ESA-listed Umatilla River steelhead and Chinook salmon, and collaboration in an Intensively Monitored Watershed (IMW) project intended to evaluate the effectiveness of habitat restoration actions in two tributaries of the Umatilla. Work related to status and trends monitoring in Objectives 1-4 meets scientific criteria. A response is needed that expands, clarifies, and provides more detail concerning the IMW project and Objective 5. The study design needs more thorough explanation, and more background information on the reference and treatment streams needs to be provided. Comparative metrics and data analyses need further explanation. Overall, this is a thorough proposal for continuation of a centrally important project in the Umatilla Basin. The investigators describe a highly integrated project to collect critical data on production and survival of wild steelhead and spring and fall Chinook salmon. This project could provide critical data to assess whether the habitat restoration projects in the Umatilla River basin are effective in increasing abundance, survival, and productivity of naturally-spawning steelhead and salmon. In addition, it provides key data to determine the success of the new integrated hatchery supplementation program, whereby separate groups of Conservation and Harvest smolts are produced. These data are necessary to determine if the integrated hatchery program is contributing to the recovery of steelhead and salmon, or just another factor leading to their demise (or no change is detected). 1. Purpose, Significance to Regional Programs, Technical Background, and Objectives The project is consistent with many regional programs and projects including the NPPC Fish and Wildlife Program and the Umatilla/Willow Subbasin Plan. It addresses several RPAs in the BiOp. This work is of great significance to regional programs, because it provides critical data to assess how natural populations of steelhead and two life history types of Chinook are responding to a variety of conditions, including in-river habitat, flow, migration corridors, and ocean conditions. Without it, little will be known about the performance of the newly created Conservation groups of salmon and steelhead. The proposal includes status and trends monitoring and a new Intensively Monitored Watershed project. The main goal of the Umatilla IMW project is to determine whether habitat enhancement results in higher abundance, survival, and productivity of natural spawned steelhead and salmon. A confusing aspect of the proposal is that several of the objectives and deliverables include work related to both status and trends monitoring as well as to the IMW habitat effectiveness evaluation. The objectives and deliverables for the status and trends work and those for the IMW work should be separated so that these two aspects of the project are clearly distinguishable. Several projects are addressing components of the IMW work, although this project seems to have the bulk of the responsibility for its conduct. Dividing the work among projects makes scientific evaluation of the IMW effort difficult. Why was the IMW work not consolidated in a single proposal? 2. History: Accomplishments, Results, and Adaptive Management This project has been ongoing in various forms since 1994, but underwent an extensive review in 2006 by the ISRP. It was restarted in 2009, after reformulating goals. This proposal is characterized by carefully planned sampling designs for the redd surveys and juvenile abundance in tributaries, and for habitat monitoring. The project can point to various results that have allowed managers to make important decisions based on the data that was collected. Based upon the results presented, the project appears to have been productive and has accomplished it objectives since it inception in 1994. Data collected through this project are critical for monitoring salmon and steelhead populations in the basin. A notable conclusion drawn from data analysis was that “habitat enhancement has not resulted in a significant improvement for summer steelhead and that the system may be at capacity for production of the species.” The negative relationship between smolts/female and number of females supports this conclusions and suggests that density-dependence may be affecting smolt survival. This conclusion is tentative but it argues for a more rigorous evaluation of the effectiveness of habitat restoration actions in the Umatilla Basin, which the proponents propose to undertake. In addressing adaptive management, the proponents indicate that the information they obtained has assisted with management decisions and provide some examples. They did not specifically address how their project has changed based on previous results. However, their decision to participate in CHaMP is indicative of their willingness to shift the direction of the project. 3. Project Relationships, Emerging Limiting Factors, and Tailored Questions for Type of Work (Hatchery, RME, Tagging) The proposed project is one of four collaborative BPA funded projects aimed at monitoring the status and trends of Chinook salmon and summer steelhead in the Umatilla River. The project is tied to several other BPA funded projects in the Umatilla Basin. It also relates to several other IMW projects in the Columbia Basin that are collaborating in the development and implementation of CHaMP. In particular, this project and another in-basin project (1990-050-01; Umatilla Basin Natural Production M&E) are cooperating in conducting the IMW habitat evaluation in the Umatilla. Some discussion of the new C & H / Integrated Segregated hatchery production scheme would have been helpful, but it seems that the proposed project, without explicitly discussing it, will deal with it effectively. In addressing emerging factors the proponents make the general statement that the data collected by this project could assist in determination of fish population response to emerging threats but do not offer anything more specific. Climate change and predation by birds and native and non-native fish predators are key emerging limiting factors which are dealt with in other proposals. It will be important to determine how this project can link with those data, such as estimating loss of this DPS of steelhead from Caspian tern and cormorant predation at the mouth of the Columbia River. 4. Deliverables, Work Elements, Metrics, and Methods This proposal has components pertaining to both routine status and trend monitoring and evaluation of habitat effectiveness under the IMW program. Methods and metrics for assessing status and trends in Objectives 1-4 are fairly standard and are appropriate for this type of work. The ISRP views positively the proponent’s willingness to engage in rigorous habitat effectiveness evaluation under the auspices of CHaMP and according to ISEMP protocols. Properly conducted, this evaluation could yield the most valuable information to date on effectiveness of habitat enhancement in the Umatilla Basin. Several issues, however, need clarification. Several objectives and deliverables (e.g., deliverables 4, 6, 9, and 10) in the proposal apparently include work related to both status and trends monitoring and to the IMW habitat effectiveness evaluation, complicating scientific review of the proposal. It would be helpful if the objectives and deliverables for the status and trends work and those for the IMW work could be separated so that these two aspects of the project are clearly distinguishable. The study design for the IMW project needs more thorough explanation, and more background information on the reference and treatment streams should be provided. The proposed approach for evaluation of the effectiveness of habitat enhancement actions is to compare a control or reference stream with each of two treatment streams that have undergone habitat enhancement. A main difficulty is that appropriate treatment and control streams are difficult to find. The Upper Umatilla, a reference stream, receives supplementation, whereas Meacham Creek, a treatment stream, has been subject to habitat restoration and also is supplemented. Steelhead use both tributaries for spawning and rearing. Therefore, a comparison between these tributaries should yield information on the effectiveness of the habitat projects in Meacham Creek, assuming there is no interaction between the habitat work and supplementation, and other physical and biological differences between the tributaries are negligible. In contrast, Birch Creek, another treatment stream, receives no supplementation but connectivity and fish passage has been restored. Since the Upper Umatilla is supplemented, it is not an adequate control stream to compare with Birch Creek, although trend monitoring (i.e., before-after) can be conducted to assess changes. How will this apparent problem be resolved? The proponents need to deal with several other questions pertaining to the IMW project. How do the reference and treatment basins compare physiographically and biologically? The history of land use, habitat loss, and hatchery influence in reference and treatment tributaries should be summarized. What habitat restoration actions have been and will be implemented, and on what time frame? What is the fish distribution and abundance in these streams? Comparative metrics and data analyses need further explanation. What metrics (fish and habitat) will be compared between treatment and reference basins to evaluate the effectiveness of habitat restoration actions? Will the proponents be responsible for collection of habitat and fish data, data integration, and data analysis? What data will be collected by other projects? An extremely large amount of data will be collected. How will it be analyzed? It should be possible to use model selection to assess how, for example, smolt production relates to habitat restoration, by fitting models with and without this covariate. ISEMP proposes a long list of habitat variables that can be measured. How will the decision be made as to which of these variables are most important for this work? |
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Documentation Links: |
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Assessment Number: | 1989-024-01-NPCC-20090924 |
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Project: | 1989-024-01 - Evaluate Umatilla Juvenile Salmonid Outmigration |
Review: | FY07-09 Solicitation Review |
Approved Date: | 10/23/2006 |
Recommendation: | Do Not Fund |
Comments: |
Assessment Number: | 1989-024-01-ISRP-20060831 |
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Project: | 1989-024-01 - Evaluate Umatilla Juvenile Salmonid Outmigration |
Review: | FY07-09 Solicitation Review |
Completed Date: | 8/31/2006 |
Final Round ISRP Date: | None |
Final Round ISRP Rating: | Meets Scientific Review Criteria |
Final Round ISRP Comment: | |
This is a very thorough proposal with thorough methods that justify continuation. A history of the project to date was covered in detail in over ~ 20 pages. This project should assist in providing critical evaluation information to the set of Umatilla projects. And the ISRP encourages the proponent to publish results and observations in the formal fisheries literature. Monitoring and evaluation of smolt yields and survivals is the focus of the investigations. Some adaptive management is evident (e.g., steelhead releases moved to lower reaches), clearly indicating the benefits of this type of work.
The project should provide data on egg-to-smolt survival and/or smolts-per-spawner as a function of spawner density to augment the information provided in table 4 (p 33). This is the key response variable in monitoring population dynamics and towards evaluation of management actions. There may also be a possibility, worth exploring, to collaborate with other tagging studies (e.g., POST), and to explore alternative methods for estimation of adults to relate smolt yields to spawner abundance more effectively. See ISRP comments on the "Umatilla Initiative" under proposal 198343600. |
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Project Relationships: |
This project Merged To 1990-005-00 effective on 4/26/2007
Relationship Description: Core Hatchery monitoring (ongoing tasks for Umatilla and mainstem PIT tagging of hatchery fish) that used to be covered under project 1989-024-01 ($81,928) was added for 1-year only. Out years for ongoing Umatilla PIT tagging of hatchery fish is reduced, with the exception of increased cost sharing This project Merged To 2023-007-00 effective on 9/18/2023 Relationship Description: Starting with FY24 contracts, all work/budget associated with projects 1992-026-04, 1989-024-01 and 1998-016-00 are merged into new project 2023-007-00. This effort was coordinated between BPA and ODFW. |
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Additional Relationships Explanation:
The proposed project is one of four BPA funded projects aimed at monitoring the status and trends of reintroduced Chinook salmon and ESA-listed summer steelhead populations in the Umatilla River and assessing the effectiveness of management actions implemented as part of the Umatilla/Willow Subbasin Plan. The proposed project, along with the Umatilla Hatchery Monitoring and Evaluation (1990-005-00), Umatilla River Natural Production Monitoring and Evaluation (1990-005-01), and Develop Progeny Marker for Salmonids to Evaluate Supplementation (2002-030-00) projects work collaboratively in the design and implementation of experiments and share responsibility in the collection, storage, analysis, synthesis, and dissemination of results and for identifying management implications (Schwartz and Cameron 2004; Grant et al. 2007).
The research partnership framework is described in detail in the Umatilla Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation Plan for Umatilla Subbasin Summer Steelhead and Chinook Salmon (Schwartz and Cameron 2004) and implemented primarily through the Umatilla Management Monitoring and Evaluation Oversight Committee. The proposed project utilizes adult escapement, age structure, and fecundity data populated by the aforementioned projects and BPA project 1988-022-00 (Umatilla River Fish Passage Operations) to calculate egg-to-smolt survival, smolt-to-adult survival, smolts-per-female. The proposed project also uses smolts PIT tagged by and/or metrics calculated (i.e. smolt survival, emigration timing, and travel time) by projects 1990-005-00 and 1990-005-01 for comparative purposes and will use smolt production data from Meacham Creek and the Upper Umatilla collected by 1990-005-01 to evaluate the biological response of steelhead to habitat restoration.
The proposed project can also be tied to numerous other BPA funded projects in the Umatilla Subbasin through data sharing, field support, facility maintenance and oversight, and equipment sharing. These include projects 1983-435-00, 1983-436-00, 1987-100-01, 1987-100-02, 1989-027-00, 1989-035-00, and 1994-026-00. The proposed project will also complement and enhance monitoring requirements necessary to successfully implement the CTUIR sponsored Biomonitoring project (2009-014-00).
Finally, the proposed project relates to several other projects who are collaborating in the development and implementation of the Columbia Habitat Monitoring Program (CHaMP) including the ISEMP project 2003-017, PNAMP 2004-002-00, Grande Ronde Chinook Early Life History Study 1992-026-04, Escapement and Productivity of Spring Chinook and Steelhead in the John Day Basin 1998-016-00, Wind River Watershed Studies 1998-019, Nez Perce Tribe Watershed Monitoring and Evaluation Plan 2002-068-00, the Salmon River Basin Nutrient Enhancement Project 2008-904-00, the Abundance, Productivity, and Life History of Fifteenmile Creek Steelhead project 2010-035-00, and the the Okanogan Basin Monitoring and Evaluation Program 2003-022-00.
The SampleSize program (Lady et al. 2003) was used to determine tagging rates for the proposed project at three levels of precision (5%, 10%, and 20% CV). A single-population, single-release design, was employed using survival and capture probabilities from PIT tagged fish released in the Umatilla River between 1999 and 2005 (Schwartz and Cameron 2004). An exercise similar to that employed by Schwartz and Cameron (2006) for coded-wire tags was used to determine PIT tagging rates required to detect a minimum of 35 tagged adults at TMFD to generate statistically valid smolt-to-adult survival estimates. Based on these exercises, a tagging goal of 3,000 summer steelhead per smolt monitoring station will provide statistically valid (≤20% CV) estimates for both smolt survival and smolt-to-adult survival. It should be noted that the observed levels of precision are likely to be more robust then the modeled levels because the modeled values do not take into account recent improvements to the PIT tag detection system at Three Mile Falls Dam (White et al. 2007; Hanson and Carmichael 2009). The CHaMP habitat monitoring work does not involve the tagging of fish.
Name (Identifier) | Area Type | Source for Limiting Factor Information | |
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Type of Location | Count | ||
Umatilla (17070103) | HUC 4 | EDT (Ecosystem Diagnosis and Treatment) | 275 |
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Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation + Data Management |
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Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation + Data Management |
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Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation + Data Management |
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Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation + Data Management |
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Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation + Data Management |
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Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation + Data Management |
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Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation + Data Management |
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Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation + Data Management |
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Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation + Data Management |
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Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation + Data Management |
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Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation + Data Management |
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Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation + Data Management |
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Research, Monitoring, and Evaluation + Data Management |
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Project Deliverables | How the project deliverables help meet this objective* |
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Status/Trend Habitat Monitoring within the CHaMP Program: Umatilla (CHaMP1r) | |
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Project Deliverables | How the project deliverables help meet this objective* |
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Operate PIT tag detection system at Three Mile Falls Dam. (DELV-1) | |
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Provide estimates of smolt abundance for natural origin steelhead. (DELV-2) | |
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Provide estimates of productivity for natural origin salmon and steelhead. (DELV-10) | |
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Maintain databases and dissemination of results. (DELV-12) | |
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Provide estimates of abundance and distribution of steelhead redds and spawners. (DELV-9) | |
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Provide estimates of density and distribution of steelhead parr. (DELV-11) | |
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Provide estimates of smolt abundance for natural origin Chinook salmon. (DELV-3) | |
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Project Deliverables | How the project deliverables help meet this objective* |
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Maintain databases and dissemination of results. (DELV-12) | |
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Provide estimates of abundance and distribution of steelhead redds and spawners. (DELV-9) | |
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Provide estimates of density and distribution of steelhead parr. (DELV-11) | |
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Project Deliverables | How the project deliverables help meet this objective* |
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Operate PIT tag detection system at Three Mile Falls Dam. (DELV-1) | |
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Provide estimates of smolt abundance for natural origin steelhead. (DELV-2) | |
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Provide estimates of smolt survival for natural origin steelhead. (DELV-4) | |
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Provide estimates of egg-to-smolt survival for natural origin salmon and steelhead. (DELV-6) | |
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Evaluate adult returns of PIT tagged fish. (DELV-8) | |
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Maintain databases and dissemination of results. (DELV-12) | |
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Provide estimates of parr-to-smolt survival rates for natural origin steelhead. (DELV-7) | |
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Provide estimates of smolt abundance for natural origin Chinook salmon. (DELV-3) | |
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Project Deliverables | How the project deliverables help meet this objective* |
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Operate PIT tag detection system at Three Mile Falls Dam. (DELV-1) | |
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Provide estimates of smolt abundance for natural origin steelhead. (DELV-2) | |
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Determine juvenile life history characteristics and condition for natural origin salmon and steelhead. (DELV-5) | |
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Maintain databases and dissemination of results. (DELV-12) | |
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Provide estimates of abundance and distribution of steelhead redds and spawners. (DELV-9) | |
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Provide estimates of density and distribution of steelhead parr. (DELV-11) | |
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Provide estimates of smolt abundance for natural origin Chinook salmon. (DELV-3) | |
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Project Deliverables | How the project deliverables help meet this objective* |
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Operate PIT tag detection system at Three Mile Falls Dam. (DELV-1) | |
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Provide estimates of smolt abundance for natural origin steelhead. (DELV-2) | |
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Provide estimates of egg-to-smolt survival for natural origin salmon and steelhead. (DELV-6) | |
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Provide estimates of productivity for natural origin salmon and steelhead. (DELV-10) | |
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Maintain databases and dissemination of results. (DELV-12) | |
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Provide estimates of parr-to-smolt survival rates for natural origin steelhead. (DELV-7) | |
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Provide estimates of abundance and distribution of steelhead redds and spawners. (DELV-9) | |
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Provide estimates of density and distribution of steelhead parr. (DELV-11) | |
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Project Deliverable | Start | End | Budget |
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Operate PIT tag detection system at Three Mile Falls Dam. (DELV-1) | 2012 | 2014 | $66,753 |
Provide estimates of smolt abundance for natural origin steelhead. (DELV-2) | 2012 | 2014 | $445,020 |
Provide estimates of smolt survival for natural origin steelhead. (DELV-4) | 2012 | 2014 | $178,008 |
Determine juvenile life history characteristics and condition for natural origin salmon and steelhead. (DELV-5) | 2012 | 2014 | $89,004 |
Provide estimates of egg-to-smolt survival for natural origin salmon and steelhead. (DELV-6) | 2012 | 2014 | $66,753 |
Evaluate adult returns of PIT tagged fish. (DELV-8) | 2012 | 2014 | $89,004 |
Provide estimates of productivity for natural origin salmon and steelhead. (DELV-10) | 2012 | 2014 | $111,255 |
Maintain databases and dissemination of results. (DELV-12) | 2012 | 2014 | $89,004 |
Provide estimates of parr-to-smolt survival rates for natural origin steelhead. (DELV-7) | 2012 | 2014 | $44,502 |
Provide estimates of abundance and distribution of steelhead redds and spawners. (DELV-9) | 2012 | 2014 | $356,016 |
Status/Trend Habitat Monitoring within the CHaMP Program: Umatilla (CHaMP1r) | 2012 | 2014 | $267,012 |
Provide estimates of density and distribution of steelhead parr. (DELV-11) | 2012 | 2014 | $200,259 |
Provide estimates of smolt abundance for natural origin Chinook salmon. (DELV-3) | 2012 | 2014 | $222,510 |
Total | $2,225,100 |
Fiscal Year | Proposal Budget Limit | Actual Request | Explanation of amount above FY2010 |
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2012 | $741,880 | ||
2013 | $731,310 | ||
2014 | $751,910 | ||
Total | $0 | $2,225,100 |
Item | Notes | FY 2012 | FY 2013 | FY 2014 |
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Personnel | $502,567 | $521,718 | $538,513 | |
Travel | $1,980 | $1,980 | $1,980 | |
Prof. Meetings & Training | $640 | $640 | $640 | |
Vehicles | $29,160 | $29,160 | $29,160 | |
Facilities/Equipment | (See explanation below) | $20,670 | $12,470 | $12,470 |
Rent/Utilities | $15,480 | $15,480 | $15,480 | |
Capital Equipment | $24,000 | $0 | $0 | |
Overhead/Indirect | $129,218 | $131,697 | $135,502 | |
Other | $0 | $0 | $0 | |
PIT Tags | $18,165 | $18,165 | $18,165 | |
Total | $741,880 | $731,310 | $751,910 |
Assessment Number: | 1989-024-01-ISRP-20101015 |
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Project: | 1989-024-01 - Evaluate Umatilla Juvenile Salmonid Outmigration |
Review: | RME / AP Category Review |
Proposal Number: | RMECAT-1989-024-01 |
Completed Date: | 12/17/2010 |
Final Round ISRP Date: | 12/17/2010 |
Final Round ISRP Rating: | Meets Scientific Review Criteria |
Final Round ISRP Comment: | |
The ISRP’s comments were addressed in a thoughtful, comprehensive manner. The response was thorough and gave frank consideration of issues raised by ISRP. The proponents provided detailed answers to ISRP questions and comments that clarified issues concerning the M&E program, especially the IMW project.
The proponents provided a reasonable justification for the design of the IMW project, which involves comparison between two treatment streams and a reference stream to assess effectiveness of habitat restoration in the treatment streams. Although the proponents argued that the treatment and reference streams were physiographically and biologically similar enough to provide valid results when compared, they were forthright and objective in discussing the limitations of the design, limitations that likely will be common to many future IMW projects. Given the differences among the treatment and reference tributaries in many biological and physical habitat features, and past management actions, the strongest comparisons may be Before-After comparisons within tributaries in response to habitat restoration. Additional comparisons among tributaries that depend on similar "background" effects of supplementation can be made, but regression analysis using key covariates may be a more useful approach, as the proponents suggest. One of the limitations of concern to the ISRP is the uncertainty of the degree of hatchery influence which could affect comparability of the treatment and reference streams. Another potential problem is that habitat restoration actions in the treatment streams have been ongoing for some time. The effects of these actions will continue beyond the initiation of the IMW project making it difficult to separate biological and habitat responses resulting from pre-treatment habitat enhancement actions from those occurring post-treatment, after project initiation. This residual effect of pre-treatment actions may complicate before-after comparisons. Finally, given the extent of habitat degradation in the treatment streams, will the proposed restoration actions in these streams, especially Meacham Creek, be great enough to produce a significant, detectable biological response? The proponents should consider how they will deal with these problems analytically or through modification of their design. |
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First Round ISRP Date: | 10/18/2010 |
First Round ISRP Rating: | Response Requested |
First Round ISRP Comment: | |
This project proposes status and trend monitoring of ESA-listed Umatilla River steelhead and Chinook salmon, and collaboration in an Intensively Monitored Watershed (IMW) project intended to evaluate the effectiveness of habitat restoration actions in two tributaries of the Umatilla. Work related to status and trends monitoring in Objectives 1-4 meets scientific criteria. A response is needed that expands, clarifies, and provides more detail concerning the IMW project and Objective 5. The study design needs more thorough explanation, and more background information on the reference and treatment streams needs to be provided. Comparative metrics and data analyses need further explanation. Overall, this is a thorough proposal for continuation of a centrally important project in the Umatilla Basin. The investigators describe a highly integrated project to collect critical data on production and survival of wild steelhead and spring and fall Chinook salmon. This project could provide critical data to assess whether the habitat restoration projects in the Umatilla River basin are effective in increasing abundance, survival, and productivity of naturally-spawning steelhead and salmon. In addition, it provides key data to determine the success of the new integrated hatchery supplementation program, whereby separate groups of Conservation and Harvest smolts are produced. These data are necessary to determine if the integrated hatchery program is contributing to the recovery of steelhead and salmon, or just another factor leading to their demise (or no change is detected). 1. Purpose, Significance to Regional Programs, Technical Background, and Objectives The project is consistent with many regional programs and projects including the NPPC Fish and Wildlife Program and the Umatilla/Willow Subbasin Plan. It addresses several RPAs in the BiOp. This work is of great significance to regional programs, because it provides critical data to assess how natural populations of steelhead and two life history types of Chinook are responding to a variety of conditions, including in-river habitat, flow, migration corridors, and ocean conditions. Without it, little will be known about the performance of the newly created Conservation groups of salmon and steelhead. The proposal includes status and trends monitoring and a new Intensively Monitored Watershed project. The main goal of the Umatilla IMW project is to determine whether habitat enhancement results in higher abundance, survival, and productivity of natural spawned steelhead and salmon. A confusing aspect of the proposal is that several of the objectives and deliverables include work related to both status and trends monitoring as well as to the IMW habitat effectiveness evaluation. The objectives and deliverables for the status and trends work and those for the IMW work should be separated so that these two aspects of the project are clearly distinguishable. Several projects are addressing components of the IMW work, although this project seems to have the bulk of the responsibility for its conduct. Dividing the work among projects makes scientific evaluation of the IMW effort difficult. Why was the IMW work not consolidated in a single proposal? 2. History: Accomplishments, Results, and Adaptive Management This project has been ongoing in various forms since 1994, but underwent an extensive review in 2006 by the ISRP. It was restarted in 2009, after reformulating goals. This proposal is characterized by carefully planned sampling designs for the redd surveys and juvenile abundance in tributaries, and for habitat monitoring. The project can point to various results that have allowed managers to make important decisions based on the data that was collected. Based upon the results presented, the project appears to have been productive and has accomplished it objectives since it inception in 1994. Data collected through this project are critical for monitoring salmon and steelhead populations in the basin. A notable conclusion drawn from data analysis was that “habitat enhancement has not resulted in a significant improvement for summer steelhead and that the system may be at capacity for production of the species.” The negative relationship between smolts/female and number of females supports this conclusions and suggests that density-dependence may be affecting smolt survival. This conclusion is tentative but it argues for a more rigorous evaluation of the effectiveness of habitat restoration actions in the Umatilla Basin, which the proponents propose to undertake. In addressing adaptive management, the proponents indicate that the information they obtained has assisted with management decisions and provide some examples. They did not specifically address how their project has changed based on previous results. However, their decision to participate in CHaMP is indicative of their willingness to shift the direction of the project. 3. Project Relationships, Emerging Limiting Factors, and Tailored Questions for Type of Work (Hatchery, RME, Tagging) The proposed project is one of four collaborative BPA funded projects aimed at monitoring the status and trends of Chinook salmon and summer steelhead in the Umatilla River. The project is tied to several other BPA funded projects in the Umatilla Basin. It also relates to several other IMW projects in the Columbia Basin that are collaborating in the development and implementation of CHaMP. In particular, this project and another in-basin project (1990-050-01; Umatilla Basin Natural Production M&E) are cooperating in conducting the IMW habitat evaluation in the Umatilla. Some discussion of the new C & H / Integrated Segregated hatchery production scheme would have been helpful, but it seems that the proposed project, without explicitly discussing it, will deal with it effectively. In addressing emerging factors the proponents make the general statement that the data collected by this project could assist in determination of fish population response to emerging threats but do not offer anything more specific. Climate change and predation by birds and native and non-native fish predators are key emerging limiting factors which are dealt with in other proposals. It will be important to determine how this project can link with those data, such as estimating loss of this DPS of steelhead from Caspian tern and cormorant predation at the mouth of the Columbia River. 4. Deliverables, Work Elements, Metrics, and Methods This proposal has components pertaining to both routine status and trend monitoring and evaluation of habitat effectiveness under the IMW program. Methods and metrics for assessing status and trends in Objectives 1-4 are fairly standard and are appropriate for this type of work. The ISRP views positively the proponent’s willingness to engage in rigorous habitat effectiveness evaluation under the auspices of CHaMP and according to ISEMP protocols. Properly conducted, this evaluation could yield the most valuable information to date on effectiveness of habitat enhancement in the Umatilla Basin. Several issues, however, need clarification. Several objectives and deliverables (e.g., deliverables 4, 6, 9, and 10) in the proposal apparently include work related to both status and trends monitoring and to the IMW habitat effectiveness evaluation, complicating scientific review of the proposal. It would be helpful if the objectives and deliverables for the status and trends work and those for the IMW work could be separated so that these two aspects of the project are clearly distinguishable. The study design for the IMW project needs more thorough explanation, and more background information on the reference and treatment streams should be provided. The proposed approach for evaluation of the effectiveness of habitat enhancement actions is to compare a control or reference stream with each of two treatment streams that have undergone habitat enhancement. A main difficulty is that appropriate treatment and control streams are difficult to find. The Upper Umatilla, a reference stream, receives supplementation, whereas Meacham Creek, a treatment stream, has been subject to habitat restoration and also is supplemented. Steelhead use both tributaries for spawning and rearing. Therefore, a comparison between these tributaries should yield information on the effectiveness of the habitat projects in Meacham Creek, assuming there is no interaction between the habitat work and supplementation, and other physical and biological differences between the tributaries are negligible. In contrast, Birch Creek, another treatment stream, receives no supplementation but connectivity and fish passage has been restored. Since the Upper Umatilla is supplemented, it is not an adequate control stream to compare with Birch Creek, although trend monitoring (i.e., before-after) can be conducted to assess changes. How will this apparent problem be resolved? The proponents need to deal with several other questions pertaining to the IMW project. How do the reference and treatment basins compare physiographically and biologically? The history of land use, habitat loss, and hatchery influence in reference and treatment tributaries should be summarized. What habitat restoration actions have been and will be implemented, and on what time frame? What is the fish distribution and abundance in these streams? Comparative metrics and data analyses need further explanation. What metrics (fish and habitat) will be compared between treatment and reference basins to evaluate the effectiveness of habitat restoration actions? Will the proponents be responsible for collection of habitat and fish data, data integration, and data analysis? What data will be collected by other projects? An extremely large amount of data will be collected. How will it be analyzed? It should be possible to use model selection to assess how, for example, smolt production relates to habitat restoration, by fitting models with and without this covariate. ISEMP proposes a long list of habitat variables that can be measured. How will the decision be made as to which of these variables are most important for this work? |
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Documentation Links: |
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